← The Card Shop PLT AMB Regionals 2024
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at The Card Shop PLT AMB Regionals 2024
decks
7
(4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
53
20-19-14
overall winrate
50.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.2%
avg ELO +1.4 per match
expected value
49.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1288
· median 1278
· range 1192–1418
(7 pilots with an ELO rating)
941
Q1 1169
Q3 1384
1685
14% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 21.3% | 9 | 3-3-3 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 13.2% | 10 | 3-4-3 | 45.0% | 46.4% | 49.3% | -0.3 |
| Wind Allies | 9.2% | 6 | 2-2-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.2% | +1.2 |
| Water Allies | 6.9% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.1% | +2.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.7% | -7.0 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.7% | 9 | 4-3-2 | 55.6% | 53.8% | 52.9% | +1.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.9% | +19.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.9% | +10.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.8% | +3.7 |
| Fire Exia | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.3% | +4.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia Jin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.6% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.4 |
| Wind Overlord | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 39.5% | -16.8 |
| Wind Slimes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
